Our Newcastle vs Man Utd Prediction: 2-3
Newcastle vs Man Utd in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 20:15 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 4, 2026. We anticipate a 2-3 win for the visitors, but with both teams frequently finding the net, a bet on over 2.5 goals is also worth considering.
This Newcastle vs Man Utd prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Everton
Newcastle must win to recover from their recent 2-3 England Premier League defeat against Everton on February 28 and regain momentum. In that match, Newcastle controlled 66% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 66% | 9 (7) | 0.95 | 67 |
 Everton | 34% | 7 (5) | 2.12 | 20 |
Man Utd's Last Match – Man Utd vs Crystal Palace
Man Utd will look to carry forward their winning form after a 2-1 England Premier League success over Crystal Palace on March 1. In that match, Man Utd recorded 61% possession, attempting 16 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man Utd | 61% | 16 (11) | 2.07 | 70 |
 Crystal Palace | 39% | 7 (3) | 0.38 | 31 |
Newcastle vs Man Utd Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Man Utd | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.31 | Attacking Strength | 1.51 |
| 1.43 | Defence Strength | 0.92 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 10/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Man Utd average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Newcastle 22-21
Man Utd 18-11
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @2.6
Draw: @3.5
Man Utd to win: @2.625
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Aaron Ramsdale, Kieran Trippier, Malick Thiaw, Dan Burn, Lewis Hall, Jacob Ramsey, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Anthony Elanga, Anthony Gordon, Harvey Barnes
Man Utd (4-2-3-1) : Senne Lammens, Noussair Mazraoui, Leny Yoro, Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw, Casemiro, Kobbie Mainoo, Bryan Mbeumo, Bruno Fernandes, Matheus Cunha, Benjamin Sesko