Our Newcastle vs Man City Prediction: 1-3
Newcastle vs Man City in the England FA Cup is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. Our prediction leans towards a 1-3 away victory, though another solid betting option is over 2.5 goals, considering both teams’ attacking form.
This Newcastle vs Man City prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Newcastle vs Man Utd
Newcastle must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 England Premier League victory over Man Utd in their last outing. In that match, Newcastle controlled 45% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 45% | 10 (5) | 2.21 | 44 |
 Man Utd | 55% | 9 (5) | 1.28 | 45 |
Man City's Last Match – Man City vs Nottm Forest
Man City will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 England Premier League draw with Nottm Forest on March 4. In that match, Man City recorded 70% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 70% | 14 (6) | 1.83 | 96 |
 Nottm Forest | 30% | 7 (4) | 0.97 | 17 |
Newcastle vs Man City Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | Man City | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Attacking Strength | 1.77 |
| 0.98 | Defence Strength | 0.39 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 2.6 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 10/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 10/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Man City average 2.1 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Newcastle 23-21
Man City 21-7
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @3.3
Draw: @3.9
Man City to win: @2.05