Our Newcastle vs FK Qarabag Prediction: 3-1
Newcastle vs FK Qarabag in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday February 24, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Newcastle vs FK Qarabag prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newcastle's Last Match – Man City vs Newcastle
Newcastle will aim to put their last result behind them following a 1-2 England Premier League loss to Man City on February 21. In that match, Newcastle saw 45% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Man City | 55% | 11 (7) | 1.35 | 58 |
 Newcastle | 45% | 8 (7) | 0.58 | 37 |
FK Qarabag's Last Match – FK Qarabag vs Newcastle
FK Qarabag must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-6 UEFA Champions League defeat against Newcastle on February 18. In that match, FK Qarabag had 42% possession and 4 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FK Qarabag | 42% | 4 (2) | 0.45 | 25 |
| Newcastle | 58% | 14 (14) | 5.56 | 55 |
Newcastle vs FK Qarabag Stats
Key Stats
| Newcastle | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.06 | Attacking Strength | 0.68 |
| 0.58 | Defence Strength | 1.73 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newcastle are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while FK Qarabag average 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Newcastle 20-18
FK Qarabag 14-21
What are the odds for this match?
Newcastle to win: @1.111
Draw: @10
FK Qarabag to win: @19
Lineups
Newcastle (4-3-3) : Aaron Ramsdale, Kieran Trippier, Sven Botman, Dan Burn, Alex Murphy, Nick Woltemade, Sandro Tonali, Joelinton, Jacob Murphy, William Osula, Harvey Barnes
FK Qarabag (5-2-2-1) : Mateusz Kochalski, Matheus Silva, Badavi Huseynov, Kevin Medina, Daniel, Pedro Bicalho, Marko Jankovic, Elvin Cafarquliyev, Joni Montiel, Abdellah Zoubir, Camilo Duran