Our Atalanta vs Napoli Prediction: 1-1
Atalanta vs Napoli in the Italy Serie A is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 22, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Atalanta vs Napoli stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Atalanta's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Atalanta
After suffering a 0-2 UEFA Champions League loss to Borussia Dortmund, Atalanta must win to get back on track. In that match, Atalanta recorded 56% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 44% | 6 (2) | 2.08 | 38 |
 Atalanta | 56% | 4 (3) | 0.46 | 49 |
Napoli's Last Match – Napoli vs Roma
Napoli will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Italy Serie A draw with Roma on February 15. In that match, Napoli controlled 61% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 7 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Napoli | 61% | 7 (7) | 0.58 | 45 |
 Roma | 39% | 6 (2) | 1.69 | 39 |
Atalanta vs Napoli Stats
Key Stats
| Atalanta | Napoli | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.11 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 0.58 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Atalanta are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Napoli average 1.4 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Atalanta 16-8
Napoli 14-15
What are the odds for this match?
Atalanta to win: @2.45
Draw: @3.2
Napoli to win: @3.1
Lineups
Atalanta (3-4-2-1) : Marco Carnesecchi, Giorgio Scalvini, Isak Hien, Sead Kolasinac, Raoul Bellanova, Marten De Roon, Mario Pasalic, Davide Zappacosta, Kamaldeen Sulemana, Nicola Zalewski, Nikola Krstovic
Napoli (3-4-2-1) : Vanja Milinkovic-Savic, Sam Beukema, Juan Jesus, Alessandro Buongiorno, Pasquale Mazzocchi, Stanislav Lobotka, Eljif Elmas, Miguel Gutierrez, Alisson Santos, Antonio Vergara, Rasmus Hojlund