Our Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction: 2-2
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday February 26, 2026. We expect a 2-2 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Nairobi United's Last Match – Bandari FC vs Nairobi United
Nairobi United must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 1-1 Kenya Premier League draw against Bandari FC on February 25. In that match, Nairobi United had 50% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Bandari FC | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 22 |
Nairobi United | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 41 |
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Mara Sugar FC vs Ulinzi Stars
Determined to get back to winning ways, Mara Sugar FC must win after their 2-2 Kenya Premier League draw against Bidco United on February 26. In that match, Mara Sugar FC saw 56% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mara Sugar FC | 48% | 0 (5) | - | 76 |
Ulinzi Stars | 52% | 0 (4) | - | 67 |
Nairobi United vs Mara Sugar FC Stats
Key Stats
| Nairobi United | Mara Sugar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.4 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 1.52 | Defence Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.1 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Nairobi United are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Mara Sugar FC average 1.1 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

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