Our Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Prediction: 2-2
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM in the Honduras Liga Nacional is scheduled for an 23:15 GMT kick-off on Wednesday March 11, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 2-2 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Motagua's Last Match – Atletico Choloma vs Motagua
Motagua will aim to maintain their momentum following a 3-1 Honduras Liga Nacional triumph against Atletico Choloma on March 8. In that match, Motagua recorded 46% possession and 6 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Atletico Choloma | 54% | 0 (3) | - | 14 |
 Motagua | 46% | 0 (6) | - | 19 |
Lobos UPNFM's Last Match – Lobos UPNFM vs Juticalpa
Lobos UPNFM will hope to extend their good run following a 3-2 Honduras Liga Nacional win against Juticalpa on March 9. In that match, Lobos UPNFM saw 57% of the ball and 8 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lobos UPNFM | 57% | 0 (8) | - | 67 |
 Juticalpa | 43% | 0 (3) | - | 39 |
Motagua vs Lobos UPNFM Stats
Key Stats
| Motagua | Lobos UPNFM | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.86 | Attacking Strength | 1.06 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Motagua are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Lobos UPNFM average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.