Our Moreirense vs Nacional Prediction: 1-1
Moreirense vs Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 15:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Moreirense vs Nacional prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Moreirense's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Moreirense
Moreirense will seek to go one better this time following a 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga share of the spoils with Casa Pia on March 1. In that match, Moreirense recorded 64% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Pia | 36% | 5 (1) | 1.16 | 29 |
 Moreirense | 64% | 8 (6) | 1.47 | 40 |
Nacional's Last Match – Nacional vs Braga
Nacional will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 Portugal Primeira Liga setback against Braga on February 28. In that match, Nacional controlled 37% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nacional | 37% | 9 (5) | 0.96 | 29 |
 Braga | 63% | 14 (9) | 2.48 | 61 |
Moreirense vs Nacional Stats
Key Stats
| Moreirense | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.88 | Attacking Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.2 | Defence Strength | 1.02 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Moreirense are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while Nacional average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Moreirense 9-10
Nacional 13-17
What are the odds for this match?
Moreirense to win: @2.35
Draw: @3.25
Nacional to win: @3
Lineups
Moreirense (4-2-3-1) : Andre Ferreira, Leandro Santos, Gilberto Batista, Maracas, Kiko, Rodrigo Alonso Martin, Mateja Stjepanovic, Diogo Travassos, Alan, Francisco Miguel Ribeiro Tome Tavares Bondoso, Luis Semedo
Nacional (4-3-3) : Kaique Pereira, Alan Nunez, Ze Vitor, Leo Santos, Lenny Vallier, Liziero, Matheus Dias, Miguel Baeza, Gabriel Veron, Jesus . Ramirez, Paulinho Boia
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Moreirense 
Estoril 
Guimaraes 
Alverca 
Arouca 
Estrela 
Rio Ave 
Casa Pia 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Tondela