Monterrey vs Toluca Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Monterrey vs Toluca Prediction: 1-1

Monterrey vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 11, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.

This Monterrey vs Toluca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Monterrey's Last Match – Atlas vs Monterrey

Monterrey will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 2-1 America Friendlies victory over Atlas on January 5. In that match, Monterrey saw 64% of the ball and 6 shots on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Atlas	36%	0 (3)	-	34
Monterrey	64%	0 (6)	-	72

Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Tigres UANL

Determined to maintain their recent success, Toluca must win following their 2-1 Mexico Liga MX victory against Tigres UANL on December 15. In that match, Toluca had 65% possession and 19 attempts at goal, with 12 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Toluca	65%	19 (12)	2.69	67
Tigres UANL	35%	6 (2)	0.44	44

Monterrey vs Toluca Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Monterrey are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Toluca average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Monterrey to win: @1.8

Draw: @3.7

Toluca to win: @4.333

Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825

Lineups

Monterrey (4-2-3-1) : Luis Cardenas, Gerardo Arteaga, Daniel Aceves, Stefan Medina, Fidel Ambriz, Oliver Torres, Sergio Canales, Erick Aguirre, Jorge Rodriguez, German Berterame, Anthony Martial

Toluca (4-2-3-1) : Hugo Alfonso Gonzalez Duran, Diego Zaragoza, Everardo Lopez del Villar, Bruno Mendez, Mauricio Isais, Fernando Arce, Pavel Perez, Helinho, Nicolas Federico Castro, Santiago Simon, Oswaldo Virgen

Monterrey Fixtures

Toluca Fixtures