Our Millwall vs Derby Prediction: 2-2
Millwall vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 10, 2026. A 2-2 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Millwall vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Millwall's Last Match – Hull vs Millwall
Millwall will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-1 England Championship success over Hull on March 7. In that match, Millwall recorded 44% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hull | 56% | 10 (6) | 2.5 | 76 |
 Millwall | 44% | 4 (4) | 1.26 | 39 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs Sheff Wed
Determined to maintain their recent success, Derby must win following their 2-1 England Championship victory against Sheff Wed on March 7. In that match, Derby saw 55% of the ball and created 10 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 55% | 10 (4) | 2.11 | 53 |
 Sheff Wed | 45% | 5 (3) | 0.74 | 39 |
Millwall vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Millwall | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.25 | Attacking Strength | 1.5 |
| 0.92 | Defence Strength | 0.9 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Millwall are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.9 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Millwall 21-8
Derby 19-12
What are the odds for this match?
Millwall to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.4
Derby to win: @3.8
Lineups
Millwall (4-2-3-1) : Anthony Patterson, Danny McNamara, Tristan Crama, Jake Cooper, Zak Sturge, Camiel Neghli, Billy Mitchell, Femi Azeez, Barry Bannan, Mihailo Ivanovic, Josh Coburn
Derby (4-2-3-1) : Josh Vickers, Joe Ward, Dion Sanderson, Matt Clarke, Derry Murkin, David Ozoh, Lewis Travis, Ben Brereton, Sammie Szmodics, Rhian Brewster, Patrick Agyemang