Our Metz vs Toulouse Prediction: 1-2
Metz vs Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 15, 2026. A 1-2 result in favor of the away side is our top pick, yet with both teams creating chances, BTTS is a smart alternative bet.
This Metz vs Toulouse prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Metz's Last Match – Lens vs Metz
Metz must win to recover from their recent 0-3 France Ligue 1 defeat against Lens on March 8 and regain momentum. In that match, Metz saw 48% of the ball and created 2 goal attempts, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lens | 52% | 18 (7) | 3.22 | 54 |
 Metz | 48% | 2 (0) | 0.39 | 36 |
Toulouse's Last Match – Toulouse vs Marseille
Toulouse will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-1 France Ligue 1 loss to Marseille on March 7. In that match, Toulouse recorded 49% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toulouse | 49% | 7 (2) | 0.82 | 38 |
 Marseille | 51% | 9 (2) | 0.48 | 28 |
Metz vs Toulouse Stats
Key Stats
| Metz | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.56 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 1.38 | Defence Strength | 0.62 |
| 0.2 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 0/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.5 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Metz are averaging 0.5 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per match, while Toulouse average 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Metz 5-23
Toulouse 12-9
What are the odds for this match?
Metz to win: @4
Draw: @3.4
Toulouse to win: @1.95