Our Rennes vs Metz Prediction: 3-1
Rennes vs Metz in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Rennes vs Metz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Rennes's Last Match – Nice vs Rennes
Rennes will want to continue their winning form after a 4-0 France Ligue 1 victory over Nice, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Rennes saw 60% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nice | 40% | 7 (2) | 2.14 | 50 |
 Rennes | 60% | 8 (8) | 1.65 | 40 |
Metz's Last Match – Lens vs Metz
Metz must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-3 France Ligue 1 defeat against Lens on March 8. In that match, Metz had 48% possession and 2 attempts at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lens | 52% | 18 (7) | 3.22 | 54 |
 Metz | 48% | 2 (0) | 0.39 | 36 |
Rennes vs Metz Stats
Key Stats
| Rennes | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 0.89 | Defence Strength | 1.61 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 0.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 0/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Rennes are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Metz average 0.5 scored and 2.3 conceded per game.
Rennes 16-15
Metz 5-23
What are the odds for this match?
Rennes to win: @1.333
Draw: @4.75
Metz to win: @8.5