Our Monaco vs Metz Prediction: 4-1
Monaco vs Metz in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday September 21, 2025. We’re backing a 4-1 home victory, but with both teams creating plenty of chances, over 2.5 goals is another strong betting option.
This Monaco vs Metz prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Monaco's Last Match – Club Brugge vs Monaco
Monaco must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-4 UEFA Champions League defeat against Club Brugge on September 18. In that match, Monaco controlled 52% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Club Brugge | 48% | 17 (10) | 3.26 | 46 |
 Monaco | 52% | 7 (5) | 1.37 | 36 |
Metz's Last Match – Metz vs Angers
Metz will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 1-1 France Ligue 1 draw with Angers on September 14. In that match, Metz had 55% possession and 6 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metz | 55% | 6 (5) | 1.75 | 42 |
 Angers | 45% | 9 (2) | 1.93 | 36 |
Monaco vs Metz Stats
Key Stats
| Monaco | Metz | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.87 | Attacking Strength | 0.82 |
| 0.67 | Defence Strength | 1.19 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.1 | Average Scored | 1.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Monaco are averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Metz average 1.5 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Monaco 21-15
Metz 15-21
What are the odds for this match?
Monaco to win: @1.285
Draw: @5.75
Metz to win: @9.5
Lineups
Monaco (4-2-2-2) : Philipp Kohn, Thilo Kehrer, Jordan Teze, Eric Dier, Kassoum Ouattara, Aladji Bamba, Lamine Camara, Maghnes Akliouche, Takumi Minamino, Mika Biereth, Paris Brunner
Metz (3-2-3-2) : Jonathan Fischer, Maxime Colin, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Terry Yegbe, Koffi Kouao, Fode Ballo-Toure, Jessy Deminguet, Benjamin Stambouli, Gauthier Hein, Cheikh Sabaly, Habib Diallo