Our Metz vs Marseille Prediction: 1-1
Metz vs Marseille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday October 4, 2025. A 1-1 result is our main prediction, but with both teams likely to score, BTTS is another strong betting choice.
This Metz vs Marseille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Metz's Last Match – Metz vs Le Havre
Metz must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 France Ligue 1 draw against Le Havre on September 28. In that match, Metz recorded 52% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 0 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Metz | 52% | 3 (0) | 0.29 | 48 |
 Le Havre | 48% | 4 (3) | 0.41 | 63 |
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Ajax
Marseille will seek to keep their streak alive after a 4-0 UEFA Champions League victory over Ajax on September 30. In that match, Marseille controlled 48% of possession and managed 7 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 48% | 7 (6) | 1.15 | 12 |
 Ajax | 52% | 5 (2) | 0.72 | 45 |
Metz vs Marseille Stats
Key Stats
| Metz | Marseille | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.63 | Attacking Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.28 | Defence Strength | 1.06 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.9 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Metz are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per match, while Marseille average 2.1 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Metz 12-26
Marseille 21-9
What are the odds for this match?
Metz to win: @5.75
Draw: @4.75
Marseille to win: @1.5
Lineups
Metz (3-4-2-1) : Jonathan Fischer, Sadibou Sane, Terry Yegbe, Jean-Philippe Gbamin, Koffi Kouao, Boubacar Traore, Jessy Deminguet, Fode Ballo-Toure, Gauthier Hein, Cheikh Sabaly, Habib Diallo
Marseille (4-2-3-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Tim Weah, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Angel Gomes, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Matt O'Riley, Igor Paixao, Robinio Vaz