Our Metz vs Lyon Prediction: 1-1
Metz vs Lyon in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:15 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 25, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Metz vs Lyon prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Metz's Last Match – Strasbourg vs Metz
Metz will hope to recover from their recent 1-2 France Ligue 1 setback against Strasbourg on January 18. In that match, Metz recorded 52% possession, attempting 5 shots on goal, with 2 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strasbourg | 48% | 11 (6) | 1.11 | 67 |
 Metz | 52% | 5 (2) | 1.08 | 37 |
Lyon's Last Match – Young Boys vs Lyon
Lyon will seek to keep their streak alive after a 1-0 UEFA Europa League victory over Young Boys on January 22. In that match, Lyon saw 62% of the ball and created 8 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Young Boys | 38% | 5 (1) | 0.79 | 39 |
 Lyon | 62% | 8 (3) | 0.67 | 59 |
Metz vs Lyon Stats
Key Stats
| Metz | Lyon | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.54 | Attacking Strength | 0.85 |
| 1.15 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Metz are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per match, while Lyon average 2.3 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.
Metz 14-18
Lyon 23-5
What are the odds for this match?
Metz to win: @4.75
Draw: @3.75
Lyon to win: @1.7