Our Southport vs Merthyr Town Prediction: 2-3
Southport vs Merthyr Town in the England National League North is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. With both teams showing attacking intent, a 2-3 away victory is our primary pick, but over 2.5 goals stands out as another strong betting choice.
This Southport vs Merthyr Town prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Southport's Last Match – South Shields vs Southport
Southport must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 England National League North defeat against South Shields on January 20. In that match, Southport had 34% possession and 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 South Shields | 66% | 0 (2) | - | 39 |
 Southport | 34% | 0 (3) | - | 26 |
Merthyr Town's Last Match – Merthyr Town vs Peterborough Sports
Merthyr Town will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-0 England National League North triumph against Peterborough Sports on January 17. In that match, Merthyr Town recorded 55% possession, firing 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Merthyr Town | 55% | 0 (6) | - | 70 |
 Peterborough Sports | 45% | 0 (4) | - | 55 |
Southport vs Merthyr Town Stats
Key Stats
| Southport | Merthyr Town | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.92 | Attacking Strength | 2.02 |
| 1.04 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.9 | Average Scored | 2.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Southport are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Merthyr Town average 2.7 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.