Our Marseille vs Strasbourg Prediction: 3-1
Marseille vs Strasbourg in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Marseille vs Strasbourg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – PSG vs Marseille
After suffering a 0-5 France Ligue 1 loss to PSG, Marseille must win to get back on track. In that match, Marseille recorded 42% possession, attempting 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSG | 58% | 19 (7) | 4.14 | 47 |
 Marseille | 42% | 4 (3) | 0.63 | 31 |
Strasbourg's Last Match – Le Havre vs Strasbourg
Strasbourg must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-2 France Ligue 1 defeat against Le Havre on February 8. In that match, Strasbourg had 50% possession and 5 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Le Havre | 50% | 11 (6) | 0.84 | 48 |
 Strasbourg | 50% | 5 (5) | 0.43 | 43 |
Marseille vs Strasbourg Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Strasbourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.68 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 1.25 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 8/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 2.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 2.0 conceded per match, while Strasbourg average 2.3 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.
Marseille 24-20
Strasbourg 23-10
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.7
Draw: @4.2
Strasbourg to win: @4.333
Lineups
Marseille (4-2-3-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Tim Weah, Benjamin Pavard, Nayef Aguerd, Emerson, Bilal Nadir, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Mason Greenwood, Quinten Timber, Amine Gouiri, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Strasbourg (4-2-3-1) : Mike Penders, Guela Doue, Lucas Hogsberg, Andrew Omobamidele, Ben Chilwell, Samir El Mourabet, Valentin Barco, Diego Moreira, Julio Enciso, Martial Godo, Joaquin Panichelli