Our Marseille vs Nantes Prediction: 3-1
Marseille vs Nantes in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday January 4, 2026. A 3-1 result in favor of the hosts is our top pick, yet with both sides creating chances, over 2.5 goals remains an appealing option.
This Marseille vs Nantes prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Bourg-Peronnas vs Marseille
Marseille will aim to maintain their momentum following a 6-0 France Cup triumph against Bourg-Peronnas on December 21. In that match, Marseille had 71% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 9 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bourg-Peronnas | 29% | 5 (0) | - | 12 |
 Marseille | 71% | 13 (9) | - | 61 |
Nantes's Last Match – Concarneau vs Nantes
Nantes will seek to keep their streak alive after a 5-3 France Cup victory over Concarneau on December 21. In that match, Nantes recorded 50% possession, firing 6 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Concarneau | 50% | 0 (6) | 1.92 | 53 |
 Nantes | 50% | 0 (6) | 2.39 | 19 |
Marseille vs Nantes Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Nantes | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.95 | Attacking Strength | 0.62 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 2.2 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.3 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Nantes average 1.4 scored and 2.4 conceded per game.
Marseille 23-8
Nantes 14-24
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.222
Draw: @6.5
Nantes to win: @12
Lineups
Marseille (3-4-2-1) : Geronimo Rulli, Benjamin Pavard, CJ Egan-Riley, Facundo Medina, Tim Weah, Arthur Vermeeren, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Emerson, Mason Greenwood, Igor Paixao, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang
Nantes (4-1-4-1) : Anthony Lopes, Kelvin Amian, Tylel Tati, Nicolas Cozza, Fabien Centonze, Francis Coquelin, Junior Mwanga, Deiver Machado, Dehmaine Assoumani, Matthis Abline, Youssef El Arabi