Our Marseille vs Monaco Prediction: 5-1
Marseille vs Monaco in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 14, 2025. Our expert analysis predicts a correct score of 5-1 for the match between Marseille and Monaco.
This Marseille vs Monaco prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Union Saint Gilloise vs Marseille
Marseille will want to continue their winning form after a 3-2 UEFA Champions League victory over Union Saint Gilloise, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Marseille had 55% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Union Saint Gilloise | 45% | 7 (6) | 0.67 | 49 |
 Marseille | 55% | 7 (5) | 1.48 | 56 |
Monaco's Last Match – Monaco vs Galatasaray
Monaco will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 UEFA Champions League win against Galatasaray on December 9. In that match, Monaco recorded 45% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Monaco | 45% | 12 (5) | 3.31 | 44 |
 Galatasaray | 55% | 8 (2) | 1.33 | 44 |
Marseille vs Monaco Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Monaco | |
|---|---|---|
| 2.23 | Attacking Strength | 1.14 |
| 0.91 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 1.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Monaco average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.