Our Malta vs Luxembourg Prediction: 1-1
Malta vs Luxembourg in the UEFA Nations League is scheduled for an 17:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 26, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Malta vs Luxembourg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Malta's Last Match – Malta vs Poland
Malta must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-3 Europe - World Cup Qualifying defeat against Poland on November 17. In that match, Malta saw 42% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Malta | 42% | 5 (8) | 2.36 | 46 |
 Poland | 58% | 11 (4) | 1.85 | 51 |
Luxembourg's Last Match – Northern Ireland vs Luxembourg
Luxembourg will hope to recover from their recent 0-1 Europe - World Cup Qualifying setback against Northern Ireland on November 17. In that match, Luxembourg recorded 60% possession, firing 10 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Northern Ireland | 40% | 8 (3) | 1.15 | 24 |
 Luxembourg | 60% | 10 (3) | 0.63 | 47 |
Malta vs Luxembourg Stats
Key Stats
| Malta | Luxembourg | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 1.39 |
| 0.87 | Defence Strength | 0.6 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 0.4 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Malta are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per match, while Luxembourg average 0.3 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
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