Mainz vs St Pauli Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Mainz vs St Pauli Prediction: 1-1

Mainz vs St Pauli in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 21, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.

This Mainz vs St Pauli prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Samsunspor

Mainz will seek to keep their streak alive after a 2-0 UEFA Conference League victory over Samsunspor on December 18. In that match, Mainz controlled 46% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Mainz	46%	8 (4)	1.7	55
Samsunspor	54%	4 (2)	0.72	23

St Pauli's Last Match – St Pauli vs Heidenheim

St Pauli will aim to maintain their momentum following a 2-1 Germany Bundesliga I triumph against Heidenheim on December 13. In that match, St Pauli recorded 37% possession, firing 5 shots at goal, with 5 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
St Pauli	37%	5 (5)	0.8	32
Heidenheim	63%	12 (7)	2.13	74

Mainz vs St Pauli Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Mainz are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while St Pauli average 0.9 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Mainz to win: @1.95

Draw: @3.3

St Pauli to win: @4.1

Over 2.5 Goals: @1.9

Lineups

Mainz (3-3-3-1) : Daniel Batz, Dominik Kohr, Andreas Hanche-Olsen, Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Kaishu Sano, Silvan Widmer, Paul Nebel, Nadiem Amiri, Lee Jae-sung, Benedict Hollerbach

St Pauli (3-3-2-2) : Nikola Vasilj, Hauke Wahl, Adam Dzwigala, Karol Mets, Arkadiusz Pyrka, James Sands, Louis Oppie, Joel Chima Fujita, Jackson Irvine, Andreas Hountondji, Mathias Pereira Lage

Mainz Fixtures

St Pauli Fixtures