Mainz vs Hamburg Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Mainz vs Hamburg Prediction: 1-0

Mainz vs Hamburg in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Friday February 20, 2026. A hard-fought battle awaits, but Mainz is likely to edge past Hamburg with a narrow 1-0 scoreline.

This Mainz vs Hamburg prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Mainz's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Mainz

Mainz will be looking to bounce back after a 0-4 Germany Bundesliga I defeat against Borussia Dortmund on February 13. In that match, Mainz recorded 46% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 4 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Borussia Dortmund	54%	7 (8)	1.86	60
Mainz	46%	4 (4)	1.42	30

Hamburg's Last Match – Hamburg vs Union Berlin

Hamburg will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-2 Germany Bundesliga I success over Union Berlin on February 14. In that match, Hamburg saw 57% of the ball and created 9 goal attempts, with 4 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Hamburg	57%	9 (4)	1.82	44
Union Berlin	43%	11 (5)	2.11	38

Mainz vs Hamburg Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Mainz are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Hamburg average 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded per game.

What are the odds for this match?

Mainz to win: @2.05

Draw: @3.3

Hamburg to win: @3.8

Over 2.5 Goals: @1.85

Lineups

Mainz (3-3-2-2) : Daniel Batz, Stefan Posch, Kacper Potulski, Dominik Kohr, Danny da Costa, Kaishu Sano, Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Lee Jae-sung, Silas Katompa Mvumpa, Phillip Tietz

Hamburg (3-4-3) : Daniel Fernandes, Nicolas Capaldo, Warmed Omari, Jordan Torunarigha, Bakery Jatta, Fabio Vieira, Nicolai Remberg, Miro Muheim, Ransford Konigsdorffer, Robert Glatzel, Philipas Otele

Mainz Fixtures

Hamburg Fixtures