Our Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction: 2-1
Lyon vs Toulouse in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday October 5, 2025. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Lyon vs Toulouse prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lyon's Last Match – Lyon vs FC Salzburg
Lyon will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 UEFA Europa League victory over FC Salzburg, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Lyon controlled 64% of possession and managed 8 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lyon | 64% | 8 (3) | 2.41 | 35 |
 FC Salzburg | 36% | 6 (5) | 0.37 | 31 |
Toulouse's Last Match – Toulouse vs Nantes
Toulouse will look to build on their last result following a 2-2 France Ligue 1 stalemate against Nantes on September 27. In that match, Toulouse recorded 45% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toulouse | 45% | 12 (6) | 2.27 | 53 |
 Nantes | 55% | 5 (2) | 1.46 | 20 |
Lyon vs Toulouse Stats
Key Stats
| Lyon | Toulouse | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | Attacking Strength | 1.21 |
| 0.75 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lyon are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Toulouse average 1.1 scored and 2.7 conceded per game.
Lyon 14-6
Toulouse 11-27
What are the odds for this match?
Lyon to win: @1.9
Draw: @3.7
Toulouse to win: @4.1
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Lyon (4-2-3-1) : Dominik Greif, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakhate, Nicolas Tagliafico, Tyler Morton, Tanner Tessmann, Adam Karabec, Corentin Tolisso, Malick Fofana, Martin Satriano
Toulouse (3-2-2-3) : Guillaume Restes, Mark McKenzie, Charlie Cresswell, Rasmus Nicolaisen, Mario Sauer, Cristian Casseres Jr, Djibril Sidibe, Waren Kamanzi, Aron Donnum, Frank Magri, Yann Gboho