Our Lyon vs Nice Prediction: 3-1
Lyon vs Nice in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 19:45 GMT kick-off on Sunday February 15, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Lyon vs Nice prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lyon's Last Match – Nantes vs Lyon
Lyon will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 France Ligue 1 victory over Nantes, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Lyon recorded 46% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nantes | 54% | 11 (3) | 0.66 | 56 |
 Lyon | 46% | 7 (3) | 1.21 | 37 |
Nice's Last Match – Nice vs Monaco
Nice will be determined to find a winning touch after a 0-0 France Ligue 1 draw against Monaco on February 8. In that match, Nice had 44% possession and 13 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nice | 44% | 13 (2) | 0.49 | 37 |
 Monaco | 56% | 10 (2) | 0.6 | 31 |
Lyon vs Nice Stats
Key Stats
| Lyon | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 1.03 |
| 0.56 | Defence Strength | 1.48 |
| 3 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 10/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lyon are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Nice average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Lyon 24-7
Nice 17-15
What are the odds for this match?
Lyon to win: @1.615
Draw: @3.9
Nice to win: @5.5
Lineups
Lyon (3-4-2-1) : Dominik Greif, Hans Hateboer, Clinton Mata, Moussa Niakhate, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Tyler Morton, Tanner Tessmann, Abner Vinicius, Corentin Tolisso, Noah Teye Nartey, Pavel Sulc
Nice (4-2-3-1) : Maxime Dupe, Jonathan Clauss, Kojo Peprah Oppong, Dante, Ali Abdi, Morgan Sanson, Charles Vanhoutte, Mohamed-Ali Cho, Sofiane Diop, Tom Louchet, Sepe Elye Wahi