Our Lyon vs Basel Prediction: 1-1
Lyon vs Basel in the UEFA Europa League is scheduled for an 16:45 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 23, 2025. Our forecast favors a 1-1 draw, with both sides expected to find the net, making BTTS a highly probable scenario.
This Lyon vs Basel prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lyon's Last Match – Nice vs Lyon
Lyon must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 2-3 France Ligue 1 defeat against Nice on October 18. In that match, Lyon controlled 69% of possession and managed 14 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nice | 31% | 5 (3) | 0.59 | 4 |
 Lyon | 69% | 14 (5) | 3.01 | 15 |
Basel's Last Match – Basel vs Winterthur
Basel will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 3-0 Switzerland Super League victory over Winterthur on October 18. In that match, Basel recorded 59% possession, attempting 18 shots on goal, with 9 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Basel | 59% | 18 (9) | 3.32 | 28 |
 Winterthur | 41% | 8 (2) | 0.56 | 13 |
Lyon vs Basel Stats
Key Stats
| Lyon | Basel | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.93 | Attacking Strength | 1.27 |
| 0.89 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lyon are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Basel average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.