Our Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Prediction: 1-0
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna in the Bulgaria First League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Lokomotiv Plovdiv, as their solid defense should be enough to keep Spartak Varna at bay.
This Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Lokomotiv Plovdiv's Last Match – Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Cherno More Varna
Determined to get back to winning ways, Lokomotiv Plovdiv must win after their 1-1 Bulgaria First League draw against Cherno More Varna on February 15. In that match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv recorded 39% possession and 3 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 39% | 0 (3) | - | 52 |
 Cherno More Varna | 61% | 0 (4) | - | 81 |
Spartak Varna's Last Match – Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia
Spartak Varna will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 Bulgaria First League share of the spoils with Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia on February 13. In that match, Spartak Varna saw 40% of the ball and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Spartak Varna | 40% | 0 (5) | - | 56 |
 Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia | 60% | 0 (5) | - | 76 |
Lokomotiv Plovdiv vs Spartak Varna Stats
Key Stats
| Lokomotiv Plovdiv | Spartak Varna | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 0.54 |
| 0.54 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 0.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Lokomotiv Plovdiv are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Spartak Varna average 0.5 scored and 1.8 conceded per game.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 11-7
Spartak Varna 5-18
What are the odds for this match?
Lokomotiv Plovdiv to win: @1.533
Draw: @3.75
Spartak Varna to win: @7