Our Marseille vs Lille Prediction: 2-1
Marseille vs Lille in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 16:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 22, 2026. A 2-1 result in favor of the hosts is our main pick, yet with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is another bet worth considering.
This Marseille vs Lille prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Toulouse vs Marseille
Determined to maintain their recent success, Marseille must win following their 1-0 France Ligue 1 victory against Toulouse on March 7. In that match, Marseille had 51% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toulouse | 49% | 7 (2) | 0.82 | 38 |
 Marseille | 51% | 9 (2) | 0.48 | 28 |
Lille's Last Match – Lille vs Lorient
Lille will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 1-1 France Ligue 1 draw with Lorient on March 8. In that match, Lille controlled 58% of possession and managed 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lille | 58% | 9 (3) | 0.51 | 80 |
 Lorient | 42% | 7 (4) | 0.44 | 25 |
Marseille vs Lille Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Attacking Strength | 0.65 |
| 1.05 | Defence Strength | 0.87 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 1/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per match, while Lille average 0.8 scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Marseille 16-19
Lille 8-8
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.6
Lille to win: @3.5