Our Marseille vs Lens Prediction: 2-1
Marseille vs Lens in the France Ligue 1 is scheduled for an 20:05 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 24, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.
This Marseille vs Lens prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Marseille's Last Match – Marseille vs Liverpool
Marseille will aim to put their last result behind them following a 0-3 UEFA Champions League loss to Liverpool on January 21. In that match, Marseille controlled 58% of possession and managed 12 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Marseille | 58% | 12 (4) | 0.88 | 58 |
 Liverpool | 42% | 10 (3) | 1.49 | 43 |
Lens's Last Match – Lens vs Auxerre
Determined to maintain their recent success, Lens must win following their 1-0 France Ligue 1 victory against Auxerre on January 17. In that match, Lens recorded 48% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lens | 48% | 12 (6) | 2.55 | 49 |
 Auxerre | 52% | 2 (0) | 0.55 | 40 |
Marseille vs Lens Stats
Key Stats
| Marseille | Lens | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | Attacking Strength | 1.23 |
| 0.92 | Defence Strength | 0.6 |
| 2 | Points Per Game | 3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 10/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 4/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 3 | Average Scored | 2.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Marseille are averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Lens average 2.4 scored and 0.4 conceded per game.
Marseille 28-14
Lens 24-4
What are the odds for this match?
Marseille to win: @1.95
Draw: @3.75
Lens to win: @3.5