Our Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca Prediction: 1-1
Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Europa League Qualifying is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday August 14, 2025. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Legia Warsaw's Last Match – Legia Warsaw vs GKS Katowice
Legia Warsaw will want to continue their winning form after a 3-1 Poland Ekstraklasa victory over GKS Katowice, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Legia Warsaw recorded 58% possession, firing 13 shots at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Legia Warsaw | 58% | 13 (7) | 1.45 | 61 |
 GKS Katowice | 42% | 7 (6) | 0.56 | 52 |
AEK Larnaca's Last Match – AEK Larnaca vs Legia Warsaw
AEK Larnaca will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 4-1 UEFA Europa League Qualifying victory over Legia Warsaw on August 7. In that match, AEK Larnaca recorded 60% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 AEK Larnaca | 60% | 6 (5) | 1.76 | 47 |
| Legia Warsaw | 40% | 5 (3) | 1.24 | 28 |
Legia Warsaw vs AEK Larnaca Stats
Key Stats
| Legia Warsaw | AEK Larnaca | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | Attacking Strength | 1.29 |
| 0.46 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 2.3 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.5 | Average Scored | 1.7 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Legia Warsaw are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while AEK Larnaca average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Legia Warsaw 15-9
AEK Larnaca 17-13
What are the odds for this match?
Legia Warsaw to win: @1.65
Draw: @3.9
AEK Larnaca to win: @4.75