Our Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction: 1-2
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 17:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 31, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Hamburg vs Bayern Munich prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Hamburg's Last Match – St Pauli vs Hamburg
Hamburg must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 0-0 Germany Bundesliga I draw against St Pauli on January 23. In that match, Hamburg had 57% possession and 3 attempts at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 St Pauli | 43% | 6 (3) | 0.26 | 30 |
 Hamburg | 57% | 3 (2) | 0.35 | 41 |
Bayern Munich's Last Match – PSV vs Bayern Munich
Determined to maintain their recent success, Bayern Munich must win following their 2-1 UEFA Champions League victory against PSV on January 28. In that match, Bayern Munich recorded 58% possession, firing 14 shots at goal, with 8 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 PSV | 42% | 10 (7) | 0.69 | 46 |
 Bayern Munich | 58% | 14 (8) | 1.79 | 53 |
Hamburg vs Bayern Munich Stats
Key Stats
| Hamburg | Bayern Munich | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.89 | Attacking Strength | 2.43 |
| 0.68 | Defence Strength | 0.43 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 2.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 9/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 10/10 |
| 1.6 | Average Scored | 4.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Hamburg are averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Bayern Munich average 3.5 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Hamburg 15-15
Bayern Munich 35-9
What are the odds for this match?
Hamburg to win: @7.5
Draw: @5.75
Bayern Munich to win: @1.333
Bayern Munich 
Borussia Dortmund 
TSG Hoffenheim 
VfB Stuttgart 
RB Leipzig 
Bayer Leverkusen 
Eintracht Frankfurt 
SC Freiburg 
Augsburg 
Hamburg 
Union Berlin 
Borussia M'gladbach 
Werder Bremen 
Cologne 
Mainz 
St Pauli 
Wolfsburg 
Heidenheim