Our Guimaraes vs Nacional Prediction: 1-1
Guimaraes vs Nacional in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:45 GMT kick-off on Friday January 2, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-1 stalemate, with both teams capable of scoring, reinforcing BTTS as a valuable choice.
This Guimaraes vs Nacional prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Guimaraes's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Guimaraes
Guimaraes will seek to go one better this time following a 0-0 Portugal Primeira Liga share of the spoils with Casa Pia on December 28. In that match, Guimaraes recorded 56% possession, firing 9 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Pia | 44% | 5 (2) | 0.38 | 35 |
 Guimaraes | 56% | 9 (2) | 1.15 | 50 |
Nacional's Last Match – AVS vs Nacional
Determined to get back to winning ways, Nacional must win after their 2-2 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against AVS on December 21. In that match, Nacional had 64% possession and 15 attempts at goal, with 6 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AVS | 36% | 10 (3) | 1.21 | 45 |
 Nacional | 64% | 15 (6) | 1.15 | 54 |
Guimaraes vs Nacional Stats
Key Stats
| Guimaraes | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.15 | Attacking Strength | 0.73 |
| 1.14 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Guimaraes are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Nacional average 1.6 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Guimaraes 14-9
Nacional 16-16
What are the odds for this match?
Guimaraes to win: @1.85
Draw: @3.3
Nacional to win: @4.5
Lineups
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1) : Juan Diego Castillo Reyes, Maga, Miguel Nobrega, Rodrigo Abascal, Joao Mendes, Goncalo Nogueira, Beni Mukendi, Arcanjo, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Nelson Oliveira
Nacional (4-2-3-1) : Kaique Pereira, Joao Aurelio, Leo Santos, Ze Vitor, Jose Manuel Mendes Gomes, Miguel Baeza, Matheus Dias, Liziero, Daniel de Melo Araujo Junior, Jesus . Ramirez, Paulinho Boia
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Moreirense 
Estoril 
Guimaraes 
Alverca 
Arouca 
Estrela 
Rio Ave 
Casa Pia 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Tondela