Our Guimaraes vs Estrela Prediction: 2-1
Guimaraes vs Estrela in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 14, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Guimaraes vs Estrela prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Guimaraes's Last Match – Arouca vs Guimaraes
Guimaraes must win to recover from their recent 2-3 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat against Arouca on February 7 and regain momentum. In that match, Guimaraes controlled 49% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Arouca | 51% | 9 (6) | 1.71 | 25 |
 Guimaraes | 49% | 10 (6) | 1.67 | 54 |
Estrela's Last Match – Estrela vs Santa Clara
Estrela will hope to extend their good run following a 1-0 Portugal Primeira Liga win against Santa Clara on February 7. In that match, Estrela recorded 45% possession, attempting 8 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estrela | 45% | 8 (4) | 0.93 | 33 |
 Santa Clara | 55% | 11 (6) | 1.31 | 53 |
Guimaraes vs Estrela Stats
Key Stats
| Guimaraes | Estrela | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.83 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.97 | Defence Strength | 1.38 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 1.2 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Guimaraes are averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Estrela average 1.3 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Guimaraes 12-16
Estrela 13-20
What are the odds for this match?
Guimaraes to win: @1.666
Draw: @3.5
Estrela to win: @5.5
Lineups
Guimaraes (4-2-3-1) : Charles, Tony Strata, Thiago Balieiro Lourenco De Carvalho, Rodrigo Abascal, Joao Mendes, Beni Mukendi, Diogo Lobao Sousa, Oumar Camara, Samu, Noah Saviolo, Gustavo Silva
Estrela (3-4-3) : Renan Ribeiro, Luan Patrick, Bernardo Schappo, Stefan Lekovic, Jefferson Encada, Eddy Doue, Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira, Otavio, Abraham Marcus, Rodrigo Pinho, Jovane Cabral