Our Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Prediction: 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This Sao Paulo vs Flamengo prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Palmeiras vs Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo will look to get back on track following a 1-3 Brazil Campeonato Paulista loss against Palmeiras on January 24. In that match, Sao Paulo had 66% possession and 12 attempts at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Palmeiras | 34% | 7 (3) | 0.96 | 35 |
 Sao Paulo | 66% | 12 (5) | 1.08 | 52 |
Flamengo's Last Match – Fluminense vs Flamengo
Flamengo will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Brazil Campeonato Carioca defeat against Fluminense on January 25. In that match, Flamengo saw 60% of the ball and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fluminense | 40% | 0 (6) | 0.93 | 33 |
 Flamengo | 60% | 0 (4) | 0.95 | 35 |
Sao Paulo vs Flamengo Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Flamengo | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 1.8 |
| 0.76 | Defence Strength | 0.79 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded per match, while Flamengo average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 11-21
Flamengo 13-13
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @3.6
Draw: @3.5
Flamengo to win: @2
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95