Our Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag Prediction: 1-2
Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag in the Azerbaijan Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 21, 2026. Our analysis suggests a 1-2 away win, but with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, BTTS is also worth considering.
This Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Neftchi Baku's Last Match – FK Kapaz vs Neftchi Baku
Neftchi Baku will hope to extend their good run following a 3-1 Azerbaijan Premier League win against FK Kapaz on February 15. In that match, Neftchi Baku saw 57% of the ball and 12 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FK Kapaz | 43% | 0 (2) | - | 41 |
 Neftchi Baku | 57% | 0 (12) | - | 57 |
FK Qarabag's Last Match – FK Qarabag vs Newcastle
FK Qarabag will look to get back on track following a 1-6 UEFA Champions League loss against Newcastle on February 18. In that match, FK Qarabag recorded 42% possession, firing 4 shots at goal, with 2 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 FK Qarabag | 42% | 4 (2) | 0.45 | 25 |
 Newcastle | 58% | 14 (14) | 5.56 | 55 |
Neftchi Baku vs FK Qarabag Stats
Key Stats
| Neftchi Baku | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.03 | Attacking Strength | 1.79 |
| 0.85 | Defence Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 1.4 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Neftchi Baku are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per match, while FK Qarabag average 1.4 scored and 2.1 conceded per game.
Neftchi Baku 14-10
FK Qarabag 14-21
What are the odds for this match?
Neftchi Baku to win: @4.1
Draw: @3.3
FK Qarabag to win: @1.75
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.95
Sabah 
FK Qarabag 
PFK Turan Tovuz 
Zira IK 
Araz FK 
FK Sumqayit 
Neftchi Baku 
Shamakhi FK 
FK Kapaz 
FK Gabala 
FK Karvan