Our Mainz vs Fiorentina Prediction: 1-0
Mainz vs Fiorentina in the UEFA Conference League is scheduled for an 17:45 GMT kick-off on Thursday November 6, 2025. We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Mainz, as their solid defense should be enough to keep Fiorentina at bay.
This Mainz vs Fiorentina prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Mainz's Last Match – Mainz vs Werder Bremen
Mainz will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Germany Bundesliga I draw against Werder Bremen on November 1. In that match, Mainz recorded 46% possession, attempting 6 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mainz | 46% | 6 (5) | 1.39 | 64 |
Werder Bremen | 54% | 5 (3) | 0.94 | 33 |
Fiorentina's Last Match – Fiorentina vs Lecce
After suffering a 0-1 Italy Serie A loss to Lecce, Fiorentina must win to get back on track. In that match, Fiorentina controlled 63% of possession and managed 10 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Fiorentina | 63% | 10 (4) | 1.43 | 44 |
Lecce | 37% | 9 (4) | 1.15 | 25 |
Mainz vs Fiorentina Stats
Key Stats
| Mainz | Fiorentina | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6 | Attacking Strength | 1.26 |
| 0 | Defence Strength | 0.78 |
| 1 | Points Per Game | 0.8 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mainz are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Fiorentina average 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.
Mainz 11-17
Fiorentina 11-15
What are the odds for this match?
Mainz to win: @2.2
Draw: @3.25
Fiorentina to win: @3.3
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.825
Lineups
Mainz (3-4-3) : Robin Zentner, Kacper Potulski, Danny da Costa, Dominik Kohr, Philipp Mwene, Nadiem Amiri, Lennard Maloney, Sota Kawasaki, Paul Nebel, Nelson Weiper, Armindo Sieb
Fiorentina (3-5-2) : Tommaso Martinelli, Marin Pongracic, Pablo Mari, Luca Ranieri, Dodo, Simon Sohm, Hans Nicolussi Caviglia, Cher Ndour, Niccolo Fortini, Jacopo Fazzini, Roberto Piccoli



Mainz
Werder Bremen
Fiorentina
Lecce
Strasbourg
Rakow Czestochowa
AEK Athens
Sparta Prague
Rayo Vallecano
Shakhtar Donetsk
Mainz
AEK Larnaca
Lausanne Sports
Crystal Palace
Lech Poznan
Samsunspor
NK Celje
AZ
Fiorentina
HNK Rijeka
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Omonia Nicosia
FC Noah
KF Drita
KuPS Kuopio
Shkendija Tetovo
Zrinjski Mostar
Sigma Olomouc
CS U Craiova
Lincoln Red Imps FC
Dynamo Kiev
Legia Warsaw
Slovan Bratislava
Breidablik
Shamrock Rovers
BK Hacken
Hamrun Spartans
Shelbourne
Aberdeen
Rapid Vienna