Our Everton vs Burnley Prediction: 1-2
Everton vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 19:30 GMT kick-off on Tuesday March 3, 2026. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our main prediction, but with both teams expected to find the net, BTTS is another solid wager.
Our prediction is supported by key Everton vs Burnley stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Everton's Last Match – Newcastle vs Everton
Everton will look to carry forward their winning form after a 3-2 England Premier League success over Newcastle on February 28. In that match, Everton recorded 34% possession, attempting 7 shots on goal, with 5 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Newcastle | 66% | 9 (7) | 0.95 | 67 |
 Everton | 34% | 7 (5) | 2.12 | 20 |
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Brentford
Burnley must win to recover from their recent 3-4 England Premier League defeat against Brentford on February 28 and regain momentum. In that match, Burnley controlled 41% of possession and managed 4 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 41% | 4 (3) | 0.97 | 39 |
 Brentford | 59% | 5 (7) | 1.93 | 57 |
Everton vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Everton | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | Attacking Strength | 1.03 |
| 1.35 | Defence Strength | 1.31 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 1/10 | Clean Sheets | 0/10 |
| 8/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Everton are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match, while Burnley average 1.8 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Everton 13-14
Burnley 18-20
What are the odds for this match?
Everton to win: @1.615
Draw: @3.7
Burnley to win: @5.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @1.925
Lineups
Everton (4-2-3-1) : Jordan Pickford, Jake O'Brien, James Tarkowski, Jarrad Branthwaite, Vitaliy Mykolenko, Idrissa Gana Gueye, James Garner, Dwight McNeil, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Iliman Ndiaye, Beto
Burnley (3-4-2-1) : Martin Dubravka, Bashir Humphreys, Joe Worrall, Maxime Esteve, Kyle Walker, Lesley Ugochukwu, Hannibal Mejbri, Florentino Luis, Lucas Pires, Jaidon Anthony, Lyle Foster
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