Our Estoril vs Casa Pia Prediction: 3-1
Estoril vs Casa Pia in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 20:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key Estoril vs Casa Pia stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
→ View Today's Correct Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Estoril's Last Match – Sporting vs Estoril
Estoril will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-3 Portugal Primeira Liga defeat at the hands of Sporting on February 27. In that match, Estoril controlled 47% of possession and managed 6 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sporting | 53% | 11 (7) | 2.07 | 49 |
 Estoril | 47% | 6 (3) | 0.62 | 48 |
Casa Pia's Last Match – Casa Pia vs Moreirense
Determined to get back to winning ways, Casa Pia must win after their 1-1 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Moreirense on March 1. In that match, Casa Pia saw 36% of the ball and created 5 goal attempts, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Casa Pia | 36% | 5 (1) | 1.16 | 29 |
 Moreirense | 64% | 8 (6) | 1.47 | 40 |
Estoril vs Casa Pia Stats
Key Stats
| Estoril | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.69 | Attacking Strength | 0.64 |
| 1.2 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 1.9 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 9/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.4 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Estoril are averaging 2.4 goals scored and 1.7 conceded per match, while Casa Pia average 1.2 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Estoril 24-17
Casa Pia 12-16
What are the odds for this match?
Estoril to win: @1.727
Draw: @3.8
Casa Pia to win: @4.5
Lineups
Estoril (3-4-3) : Joel Robles, Ferro, Felix Bacher, Antef Tsoungui, Pedro Carvalho, Jandro Orellana, Jordan William Holsgrove, Ricard Sanchez, Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marques, Yanis Begraoui
Casa Pia (3-4-3) : Patrick Sequeira, Andre Geraldes, Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira, Joao Goulart, Gaizka Larrazabal, Rafael Brito, Sebastian Perez, Abdu Conte, Jeremy Livolant, Cassiano, Korede Osundina
FC Porto 
Sporting 
Benfica 
Braga 
Gil Vicente 
Famalicao 
Moreirense 
Estoril 
Guimaraes 
Alverca 
Arouca 
Estrela 
Rio Ave 
Casa Pia 
Nacional 
Santa Clara 
Tondela