Our Benfica vs Estoril Prediction: 3-1
Benfica vs Estoril in the Portugal Primeira Liga is scheduled for an 18:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our expected outcome, though over 2.5 goals could be a valuable alternative given both teams' scoring form.
This Benfica vs Estoril prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Benfica's Last Match – Braga vs Benfica
Benfica must win as they look to rediscover their winning form following a 2-2 Portugal Primeira Liga draw against Braga on December 28. In that match, Benfica had 51% possession and 11 attempts at goal, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Braga | 49% | 5 (4) | 1.75 | 34 |
 Benfica | 51% | 11 (7) | 1.18 | 39 |
Estoril's Last Match – Estoril vs Alverca
Estoril will hope to extend their good run following a 4-1 Portugal Primeira Liga win against Alverca on December 27. In that match, Estoril recorded 64% possession, firing 8 shots at goal, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Estoril | 64% | 8 (5) | 1.3 | 60 |
 Alverca | 36% | 10 (5) | 0.74 | 35 |
Benfica vs Estoril Stats
Key Stats
| Benfica | Estoril | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | Attacking Strength | 1.22 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 1.44 |
| 2.4 | Points Per Game | 1.7 |
| 7/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 6/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Benfica are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match, while Estoril average 2.0 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
Benfica 20-6
Estoril 20-16
What are the odds for this match?
Benfica to win: @1.222
Draw: @5.75
Estoril to win: @13
Lineups
Benfica (4-2-3-1) : Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Nicolas Otamendi, Antonio Silva, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Manu Silva, Gianluca Prestianni, Leandro Barreiro, Georgiy Sudakov, Vangelis Pavlidis
Estoril (3-4-3) : Joel Robles, Kevin Boma, Felix Bacher, Pedro Amaral, Ricard Sanchez, Jandro Orellana, Jordan William Holsgrove, Joao Carvalho, Rafik Guitane, Alejandro Marques, Yanis Begraoui