Derby vs Birmingham Correct Score Prediction: Team Stats, H2H & Betting Insights

Our Derby vs Birmingham Prediction: 2-1

Derby vs Birmingham in the England Championship is scheduled for an 12:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 21, 2026. A 2-1 victory for the hosts is our top prediction, yet given both teams’ attacking form, BTTS seems like a smart betting choice.

This Derby vs Birmingham prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.

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Recent Form Insights

Derby's Last Match – Millwall vs Derby

Derby must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 0-1 England Championship defeat against Millwall on March 10. In that match, Derby had 50% possession and 9 attempts at goal, with 0 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Millwall	50%	10 (4)	1.44	53
Derby	50%	9 (0)	1.24	44

Birmingham's Last Match – Birmingham vs QPR

Birmingham will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 England Championship victory over QPR, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Birmingham saw 58% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 5 on target.

Team	Possession	Shots (on target)	xG	Dangerous Attacks
Birmingham	58%	14 (5)	1.59	72
QPR	42%	7 (2)	0.38	27

Derby vs Birmingham Stats

Key Stats

Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded

Derby are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Birmingham average 1.0 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.