Our Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe Prediction: 1-0
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 21:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday March 5, 2026. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Deportes Tolima seems the most probable outcome against Independiente Santa Fe.
This Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Deportes Tolima's Last Match – Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Deportes Tolima will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Copa Libertadores Qualification defeat at the hands of O'Higgins on March 5. In that match, Deportes Tolima saw 34% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Deportes Tolima | 64% | 11 (3) | 1.36 | 53 |
 Atletico Nacional Medellin | 36% | 6 (4) | 0.85 | 24 |
Independiente Santa Fe's Last Match – Independiente Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Medellin
Independiente Santa Fe will be looking to bounce back after a 1-2 Colombia Primera A defeat against Atletico Nacional Medellin on February 26. In that match, Independiente Santa Fe recorded 39% possession, firing 12 shots at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Independiente Santa Fe | 39% | 12 (3) | 1.2 | 27 |
| Atletico Nacional Medellin | 61% | 9 (3) | 1.6 | 24 |
Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Santa Fe Stats
Key Stats
| Deportes Tolima | Independiente Santa Fe | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.82 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.49 | Defence Strength | 0.75 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 3/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1 | Average Scored | 1.3 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Deportes Tolima are averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Independiente Santa Fe average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded per game.
Deportes Tolima 10-8
Independiente Santa Fe 13-12
What are the odds for this match?
Deportes Tolima to win: @2.15
Draw: @3
Independiente Santa Fe to win: @3.4
Atletico Nacional Medellin 
Deportivo Pasto 
Once Caldas 
Atletico Bucaramanga 
America de Cali 
Junior 
Deportes Tolima 
Millonarios 
Llaneros 
Fortaleza CEIF 
Deportivo Cali 
Aguilas Doradas 
Independiente Santa Fe 
Jaguares de Cordoba 
Independiente Medellin 
Cucuta Deportivo 
Boyaca Chico 
Deportivo Pereira