Our Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Prediction: 1-1
Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima in the Colombia Primera A is scheduled for an 01:30 GMT kick-off on Wednesday January 28, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Independiente Medellin's Last Match – Deportivo Cali vs Independiente Medellin
Independiente Medellin will look to get back on track following a 1-3 Colombia Primera A loss against Deportivo Cali on January 24. In that match, Independiente Medellin saw 39% of the ball and created 7 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deportivo Cali | 61% | 8 (5) | 1.03 | 40 |
Independiente Medellin | 39% | 7 (3) | 0.45 | 28 |
Deportes Tolima's Last Match – Deportes Tolima vs Alianza
Deportes Tolima must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-0 Colombia Primera A victory over Alianza in their last outing. In that match, Deportes Tolima controlled 61% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Deportes Tolima | 61% | 11 (4) | 1.43 | 41 |
Alianza | 39% | 5 (1) | 0.4 | 12 |
Independiente Medellin vs Deportes Tolima Stats
Key Stats
| Independiente Medellin | Deportes Tolima | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.53 | Attacking Strength | 0.97 |
| 0.97 | Defence Strength | 0.58 |
| 0.9 | Points Per Game | 2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Independiente Medellin are averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Deportes Tolima average 0.9 scored and 0.5 conceded per game.



Deportivo Cali
Independiente Medellin
Deportes Tolima
Atletico Nacional Medellin
Deportivo Pasto
Once Caldas
Atletico Bucaramanga
America de Cali
Junior
Deportes Tolima
Millonarios
Llaneros
Fortaleza CEIF
Deportivo Cali
Aguilas Doradas
Independiente Santa Fe
Jaguares de Cordoba
Independiente Medellin
Cucuta Deportivo
Boyaca Chico
Deportivo Pereira