Our Penarol vs Danubio Prediction: 2-1
Penarol vs Danubio in the Uruguay Apertura is scheduled for an 23:30 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 7, 2026. Our correct score prediction favors a 2-1 home triumph, but considering both teams’ ability to find the net, BTTS is also a solid alternative bet.
This Penarol vs Danubio prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Penarol's Last Match – Nacional De Football vs Penarol
Penarol will be eager to build on their previous performance after securing a 1-0 Uruguay Apertura victory over Nacional De Football on March 1. In that match, Penarol controlled 50% of possession and managed 3 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nacional De Football | 50% | 0 (2) | - | 76 |
 Penarol | 50% | 0 (3) | - | 46 |
Danubio's Last Match – Danubio vs Club Atletico Progreso
Danubio will seek to go one better this time following a 2-2 Uruguay Apertura share of the spoils with Club Atletico Progreso on February 28. In that match, Danubio saw 60% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Danubio | 60% | 0 (7) | - | 82 |
 Club Atletico Progreso | 40% | 0 (3) | - | 60 |
Penarol vs Danubio Stats
Key Stats
| Penarol | Danubio | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | Attacking Strength | 0.57 |
| 1.23 | Defence Strength | 1.11 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 1.5 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 4/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 0.9 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Penarol are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Danubio average 0.9 scored and 0.9 conceded per game.
Penarol 11-7
Danubio 9-9
What are the odds for this match?
Penarol to win: @1.615
Draw: @3.3
Danubio to win: @5.25