Our Merthyr Town vs Chorley Prediction: 3-1
Merthyr Town vs Chorley in the England National League North is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday February 7, 2026. We predict a 3-1 home victory, but with both teams posing an attacking threat, over 2.5 goals is another solid betting option.
This Merthyr Town vs Chorley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Merthyr Town's Last Match – Darlington 1883 vs Merthyr Town
Merthyr Town must win as they aim to bounce back from a disappointing 1-3 England National League North defeat against Darlington 1883 on January 31. In that match, Merthyr Town had 35% possession and 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Darlington 1883 | 65% | 0 (10) | - | 51 |
 Merthyr Town | 35% | 0 (5) | - | 35 |
Chorley's Last Match – Chorley vs Leamington
Chorley should win to turn things around after settling for a 1-1 England National League North draw against Leamington on February 3. In that match, Chorley saw 55% of the ball and 7 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chorley | 55% | 0 (7) | - | 82 |
 Leamington | 45% | 0 (2) | - | 48 |
Merthyr Town vs Chorley Stats
Key Stats
| Merthyr Town | Chorley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.97 | Defence Strength | 1.22 |
| 2.5 | Points Per Game | 1.3 |
| 8/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 6/10 |
| 2.7 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Merthyr Town are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Chorley average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded per game.