Our Chelsea vs Benfica Prediction: 2-1
Chelsea vs Benfica in the UEFA Champions League is scheduled for an 19:00 GMT kick-off on Tuesday September 30, 2025. We predict a 2-1 home victory, but with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS (Both Teams to Score) is another strong betting option.
Our prediction is supported by key performance data, betting odds and match insights — everything you need is right below to make smarter bets.
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Recent Form Insights
Chelsea's Last Match – Chelsea vs Brighton
After suffering a 1-3 England Premier League loss to Brighton, Chelsea must win to get back on track. In that match, Chelsea had 59% possession and 7 attempts at goal, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Chelsea | 59% | 7 (3) | 1.55 | 40 |
 Brighton | 41% | 8 (3) | 2 | 53 |
Benfica's Last Match – Benfica vs Gil Vicente
Benfica will hope to extend their good run following a 2-1 Portugal Primeira Liga win against Gil Vicente on September 26. In that match, Benfica controlled 47% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 4 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Benfica | 47% | 11 (4) | 1.27 | 38 |
 Gil Vicente | 53% | 11 (8) | 1.65 | 41 |
Chelsea vs Benfica Stats
Key Stats
| Chelsea | Benfica | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.09 | Attacking Strength | 1.18 |
| 0.52 | Defence Strength | 0.82 |
| 1.7 | Points Per Game | 2.1 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 6/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 7/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 2 | Average Scored | 1.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Chelsea are averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Benfica average 1.6 scored and 0.7 conceded per game.
Chelsea 20-13
Benfica 16-7
What are the odds for this match?
Chelsea to win: @1.6
Draw: @3.9
Benfica to win: @5.25
Lineups
Chelsea (4-2-3-1) : Robert Sanchez, Malo Gusto, Trevoh Chalobah, Benoit Badiashile, Marc Cucurella, Buonanotte Facundo, Moises Caicedo, Pedro Neto, Enzo Fernandez, Alejandro Garnacho, Tyrique George
Benfica (4-2-3-1) : Anatoliy Trubin, Amar Dedic, Antonio Silva, Nicolas Otamendi, Samuel Dahl, Richard Rios, Enzo Barrenechea, Dodi Lukebakio, Fredrik Aursnes, Georgiy Sudakov, Vangelis Pavlidis