Our Sao Paulo vs Ceara Prediction: 1-1
Sao Paulo vs Ceara in the Brazil Serie A is scheduled for an 23:00 GMT kick-off on Monday September 29, 2025. We anticipate a balanced game ending in a 1-1 draw, and given both teams’ scoring form, BTTS looks like a safe bet.
This Sao Paulo vs Ceara prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Sao Paulo's Last Match – Sao Paulo vs LDU Quito
Sao Paulo will be looking to bounce back after a 0-1 Copa Libertadores defeat against LDU Quito on September 25. In that match, Sao Paulo recorded 75% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 11 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Sao Paulo | 75% | 9 (11) | 2.9 | 77 |
 LDU Quito | 25% | 1 (1) | 0.55 | 15 |
Ceara's Last Match – Ceara vs EC Bahia
Ceara will be determined to find a winning touch after a 1-1 Brazil Serie A draw against EC Bahia on September 20. In that match, Ceara saw 37% of the ball and created 12 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Ceara | 37% | 12 (5) | 1.61 | 31 |
 EC Bahia | 63% | 14 (5) | 1.19 | 43 |
Sao Paulo vs Ceara Stats
Key Stats
| Sao Paulo | Ceara | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.05 | Attacking Strength | 0.89 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 0.84 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 2/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.8 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Sao Paulo are averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per match, while Ceara average 0.8 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.
Sao Paulo 8-8
Ceara 8-11
What are the odds for this match?
Sao Paulo to win: @1.65
Draw: @3.6
Ceara to win: @5.5
Lineups
Sao Paulo (3-4-1-2) : Rafael, Rafael Toloi, Alan Franco, Robert Arboleda, Cedric, Damian Bobadilla, Alisson, Enzo Diaz, Rodriguinho, Luciano, Ferreira
Ceara (4-2-3-1) : Bruno, Fabiano, Marcos Victor, Willian Machado, Matheus Bahia, Richardson, Diego, Antonio Galeano, Lourenco, Paulo Baya, Pedro Raul