Our Newport City FC vs Carmarthen Prediction: 1-1
Newport City FC vs Carmarthen in the Wales Championship South is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday March 1, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
This Newport City FC vs Carmarthen prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
If you're looking for more top picks, check out our must-win fixtures for today to see which teams have the highest chance of securing victory!
Recent Form Insights
Newport City FC's Last Match – Newport City FC vs Llantwit Major
Newport City FC will want to continue their winning form after a 2-1 Wales Championship South victory over Llantwit Major, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Newport City FC controlled 58% of possession and managed 5 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newport City FC | 58% | 0 (5) | - | 59 |
 Llantwit Major | 42% | 0 (4) | - | 37 |
Carmarthen's Last Match – Caerau Ely vs Carmarthen
Carmarthen will look to carry forward their winning form after a 4-3 Wales Championship South success over Caerau Ely on February 21. In that match, Carmarthen saw 39% of the ball and 10 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Caerau Ely | 61% | 0 (7) | - | 43 |
 Carmarthen | 39% | 0 (10) | - | 27 |
Newport City FC vs Carmarthen Stats
Key Stats
| Newport City FC | Carmarthen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.72 | Attacking Strength | 1.08 |
| 0.69 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.2 | Points Per Game | 1 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | DRAW | 4/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 4/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 1.1 | Average Scored | 1.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Newport City FC are averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Carmarthen average 1.1 scored and 1.7 conceded per game.
Newport City FC 11-15
Carmarthen 11-17
What are the odds for this match?
Newport City FC to win: @2
Draw: @3.3
Carmarthen to win: @3.25
Over 2.5 Goals: @2