Our Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen Prediction: 1-1
Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen in the Wales Championship South is scheduled for an 14:30 GMT kick-off on Thursday January 1, 2026. A 1-1 draw seems the most likely outcome, and with both teams showing attacking intent, BTTS is a solid alternative bet.
Our prediction is supported by key Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen stats, including attacking and defensive strength, recent form and historical results — all detailed below.
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Recent Form Insights
Aberystwyth's Last Match – Pontypridd Utd vs Aberystwyth
Aberystwyth will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Wales Championship South success over Pontypridd Utd on December 26. In that match, Aberystwyth saw 44% of the ball and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Pontypridd Utd | 56% | 0 (5) | - | 61 |
 Aberystwyth | 44% | 0 (2) | - | 48 |
Carmarthen's Last Match – Carmarthen vs Ammanford AFC
Carmarthen must win to recover from their recent 0-1 Wales Championship South defeat against Ammanford AFC on December 26 and regain momentum. In that match, Carmarthen had 52% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Carmarthen | 52% | 0 (2) | - | 37 |
 Ammanford AFC | 48% | 0 (5) | - | 55 |
Aberystwyth vs Carmarthen Stats
Key Stats
| Aberystwyth | Carmarthen | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.69 | Attacking Strength | 0.92 |
| 0.57 | Defence Strength | 0.86 |
| 1.5 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 5/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 1.3 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Aberystwyth are averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Carmarthen average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.