Our Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely Prediction: 1-3
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely in the Wales Championship South is scheduled for an 14:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday March 14, 2026. With both teams showing attacking intent, a 1-3 away victory is our primary pick, but over 2.5 goals stands out as another strong betting choice.
This Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Baglan Dragons's Last Match – Newport City FC vs Baglan Dragons
Baglan Dragons must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 2-1 Wales Championship South victory over Newport City FC in their last outing. In that match, Baglan Dragons had 33% possession and 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Newport City FC | 67% | 0 (5) | - | 125 |
Baglan Dragons | 33% | 0 (4) | - | 60 |
Caerau Ely's Last Match – Caerau Ely vs Treowen Stars
Caerau Ely will hope to extend their good run following a 3-0 Wales Championship South win against Treowen Stars on March 10. In that match, Caerau Ely recorded 61% possession and 8 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Caerau Ely | 61% | 0 (8) | - | 60 |
Treowen Stars | 39% | 0 (2) | - | 31 |
Baglan Dragons vs Caerau Ely Stats
Key Stats
| Baglan Dragons | Caerau Ely | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.84 | Attacking Strength | 1.67 |
| 1.22 | Defence Strength | 0.97 |
| 0.8 | Points Per Game | 1.6 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 1/10 |
| 2/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 9/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 2.5 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Baglan Dragons are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per match, while Caerau Ely average 2.5 scored and 1.6 conceded per game.