Our Bristol City vs Derby Prediction: 1-1
Bristol City vs Derby in the England Championship is scheduled for an 20:00 GMT kick-off on Friday January 30, 2026. We predict a tightly contested 1-1 draw, with both teams getting on the scoresheet, making BTTS a strong betting option.
This Bristol City vs Derby prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Bristol City's Last Match – Bristol City vs Sheff Wed
Bristol City will want to continue their winning form after a 2-0 England Championship victory over Sheff Wed, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Bristol City saw 59% of the ball and created 14 goal attempts, with 7 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bristol City | 59% | 14 (7) | 2.53 | 52 |
 Sheff Wed | 41% | 3 (0) | 0.71 | 31 |
Derby's Last Match – Derby vs West Brom
Determined to get back to winning ways, Derby must win after their 1-1 England Championship draw against West Brom on January 23. In that match, Derby recorded 58% possession, firing 3 shots at goal, with 1 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Derby | 58% | 3 (1) | 0.29 | 39 |
 West Brom | 42% | 7 (4) | 0.96 | 42 |
Bristol City vs Derby Stats
Key Stats
| Bristol City | Derby | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2 | Attacking Strength | 1.31 |
| 0.79 | Defence Strength | 0.71 |
| 1.4 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 2/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.7 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Bristol City are averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per match, while Derby average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.