Our Brighton vs Burnley Prediction: 3-1
Brighton vs Burnley in the England Premier League is scheduled for an 15:00 GMT kick-off on Saturday January 3, 2026. A 3-1 win for the home side is our main prediction, though over 2.5 goals looks like a valuable bet given both teams’ attacking tendencies.
This Brighton vs Burnley prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Brighton's Last Match – West Ham vs Brighton
Brighton will aim to turn their fortunes around after a 2-2 England Premier League draw with West Ham on December 30. In that match, Brighton recorded 61% possession, attempting 12 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 West Ham | 39% | 6 (4) | 2.11 | 35 |
 Brighton | 61% | 12 (6) | 2.84 | 63 |
Burnley's Last Match – Burnley vs Newcastle
Burnley will be eager to respond after suffering a 1-3 England Premier League defeat at the hands of Newcastle on December 30. In that match, Burnley saw 49% of the ball and created 11 goal attempts, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Burnley | 49% | 11 (4) | 1.05 | 44 |
 Newcastle | 51% | 12 (9) | 2.01 | 39 |
Brighton vs Burnley Stats
Key Stats
| Brighton | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.24 | Attacking Strength | 1.07 |
| 1.07 | Defence Strength | 1.7 |
| 1.3 | Points Per Game | 0.2 |
| 3/10 | WIN | 0/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 6/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 |
| 1.4 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Brighton are averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per match, while Burnley average 0.8 scored and 2.0 conceded per game.
Brighton 14-12
Burnley 8-20
What are the odds for this match?
Brighton to win: @1.5
Draw: @4.333
Burnley to win: @6.5
Over 2.5 Goals: @2
Lineups
Brighton (4-2-3-1) : Bart Verbruggen, Joel Veltman, Jan Paul Van Hecke, Lewis Dunk, Ferdi Kadioglu, Yasin Ayari, Brajan Gruda, Diego Gomez, Georginio Rutter, Kaoru Mitoma, Charalampos Kostoulas
Burnley (5-4-1) : Martin Dubravka, Kyle Walker, Josh Laurent, Hjalmar Ekdal, Bashir Humphreys, Lucas Pires, Jacob Bruun Larsen, Lesley Ugochukwu, Florentino Luis, Jaidon Anthony, Armando Broja
Arsenal 
Man City 
Man Utd 
Aston Villa 
Chelsea 
Liverpool 
Brentford 
Everton 
Bournemouth 
Fulham 
Sunderland 
Newcastle 
Crystal Palace 
Brighton 
Leeds 
Tottenham 
Nottm Forest 
West Ham 
Burnley 
Wolverhampton