Our Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim Prediction: 3-1
Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim in the Germany Bundesliga I is scheduled for an 16:30 GMT kick-off on Sunday December 7, 2025. Our analysis favors a 3-1 home win, but considering the likelihood of multiple goals, over 2.5 goals is also a solid wager.
This Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Borussia Dortmund's Last Match – Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Germany DFB Pokal defeat at the hands of Bayer Leverkusen on December 2. In that match, Borussia Dortmund recorded 58% possession, firing 11 shots at goal, with 4 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Borussia Dortmund | 58% | 11 (4) | 1.32 | 90 |
 Bayer Leverkusen | 42% | 7 (2) | 0.33 | 17 |
TSG Hoffenheim's Last Match – TSG Hoffenheim vs Augsburg
TSG Hoffenheim will want to continue their winning form after a 3-0 Germany Bundesliga I victory over Augsburg, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, TSG Hoffenheim recorded 60% possession, attempting 9 shots on goal, with 3 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 TSG Hoffenheim | 60% | 9 (3) | 2.15 | 63 |
 Augsburg | 40% | 10 (4) | 0.82 | 30 |
Borussia Dortmund vs TSG Hoffenheim Stats
Key Stats
| Borussia Dortmund | TSG Hoffenheim | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.34 | Attacking Strength | 1.53 |
| 0.53 | Defence Strength | 1.16 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 1.8 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 5/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | Clean Sheets | 1/10 |
| 7/10 | BTTS | 8/10 |
| 5/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 1.8 | Average Scored | 2.1 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Borussia Dortmund are averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while TSG Hoffenheim average 2.0 scored and 1.3 conceded per game.
Borussia Dortmund 18-13
TSG Hoffenheim 20-13
What are the odds for this match?
Borussia Dortmund to win: @1.571
Draw: @4.5
TSG Hoffenheim to win: @5